It may say Managing General Partner next to Hal Steinbrenner's name, but it is in fact 24-year-old Brett Cecil who actually owns the New York Yankees. Cecil led the Blue Jays to a 8-3 romp of New York, picking up his Major League-leading fourth win against the Yankees in 2010 and improving to 4-0 in five starts against the Bombers this season. The win was no surprise whatsoever considering the Yankees haven't been able to do anything of note against Cecil all year and have done nothing but struggle against slow-throwing pitchers of his ilk.It obviously didn't help the Yankees' cause that they were starting soon-to-be-former-Yankee Javier Vazquez, who did his best A.J. Burnett impression in giving up seven runs over 4 2/3 innings. The more you think about it, it's actually pretty incredible that the Yankees ended up making it to the postseason with 40% of their Opening Day five-man rotation pitching to a 5.00-plus ERA in more than 350 innings. Steve Goldman already noted that Burnett is the "most carried" Yankee starter of all time, but Vazquez isn't too far behind.
But regardless of who started for the Yankees they likely would've been no match for Cecil, who missed a fifth quality start in five tries against the Yankees by two outs. On the season, Cecil pitched to a 2.71 ERA over 33 2/3 innings against the Yanks, which is just ridiculous. I'd be curious to know how many other pitchers in baseball history registered a sub-3.00 ERA in 30-plus innings against New York in one season. I tried finding out via B-Ref's Play Index, but couldn't determine which tool would enable me to input that specific criteria. If anyone out there can find this info out, I'd be much obliged.
The only good thing to come out of the game was Alex Rodriguez blasting his 30th home run of the year, tying Barry Bonds with his 13th consecutive season of 30-or-more bombs and the 14th of his career. Stepping back for a second, this is quite an astonishing feat considering how concerned I (and others) were about his seeming decline in power this season. I even wrote not one but two in-depth analyses about it. Consider that on June 9, 59 games into the season (Alex had played in 57 of them) -- more than one-third of the year -- Alex had only eight home runs in 255 plate appearances, or a home run every 28 at-bats. In the 76 games Alex has played since then, he's crushed 22 home runs in 324 plate appearances, or a home run every 12.9 at-bats. Now that's more like it.
Given the growing concern that Alex was nearing the end of the line as an elite power hitter, it's considerably reassuring to see that perhaps he's not quite done yet. Will he ever be a 40-plus-home-run player again? That doesn't seem likely, but I'd be more than happy with an A-Rod who can still give you 30-40 bombs a year.
So the Blue Jays ended up going 10-8 against the Yankees in 2010, due in large part to Brett Cecil morphing into Pedro Martinez when facing the Yankees. The Yankees had never previously had a losing record in a season series against the Blue Jays in the Unbalanced Schedule Era. If Boston sweeps the Yankees this weekend, they would become the third AL East team with 10 wins against the Yankees this year, and I can't imagine that's ever happened before. I don't know what that says about the rest of the American League, or about the Yankees that they were able to make it to the playoffs despite holding losing records against two (and possibly three) of their four divisional opponents.
You can't make the prediction that he will not be a 40 home run a season player again. If you look at the numbers as compare them to games missed, A-rod is still a 40 plus per season player. He's missed at least 30 games that last three seasons. I know you are thinking about the steriod revelation last year, but A-Rod failed that test during his Texas years. Look what he put up with the Yankees(in a ball park not generous to Right hand hitters).
ReplyDeleteWell, you can make a prediction about anything you want. That's the beauty of predictions; you can either be right or wrong.
ReplyDeleteBelieve me, no one would be happier than I if A-Rod was able to return to the 40-plus home run plateau, but recent history and aging would make that seem unlikely. Alex hasn't had a 40-plus year in three seasons -- obviously he's dealt with a plethora of injuries in each of the last three years, limiting his playing time, but given his age and hip issues it's unrealistic to expect that he'll be completely healthy in the seasons to come.
Depending on whether Joe sits him this weekend, A-Rod could end up playing a total of 137 games this season. I'm not sure the biggest A-Rod homer in the world could realistically expect that he'd have hit 10 more home runs in those missing 25 games had he played all 162.
Do I expect he'll rebound next season? Yes, I do -- his HR/FB is a career-low 17.5%; the only other time it was below 20% as a Yankee was his first season in pinstripes.
However, I stand by my prediction that A-Rod probably doesn't have any more 40-plus home run seasons left in him -- heck, only two guys in all of MLB have even managed to get there this season -- and that's OK. Even if A-Rod can provide a home run total in the mid-30s he'll remain highly valuable to the team.
And if I'm wrong, then it'll be glorious.
A-Rod definitely returned to form in the 2nd half, and reminded us all just how good he can be. However, moving forward the Yankees' biggest problem may well be keeping ARod on the field for more than 130 games or so. Injury is a perfectly valid reason to argue against a player being able to make it to 40 homers a season again. This year A-Rod still didn't show the power, but he did the past two years, but missed due to injury. Three consecutive injury plagued seasons are a clear trend. Injury may play as large a part in A-Rod's struggles in the future as decline.
ReplyDeleteLarry, I hope we're both wrong.
New York -- Felix Hernandez watched with delight as Russell Branyan's drive in the first inning landed in the New York Yankees' bullpen for a three-run homer -- and some rare run support.
ReplyDelete"It was like, 'Yeah!'" Hernandez said. "Now you got to do your job."
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Oh, he did, giving up four hits in eight innings to lift the Seattle Mariners to a 6-0 victory Friday night and just miss becoming the first pitcher in more than 25 years to throw four straight complete games against the Yankees.
Makes me sick that you bigots forgot about Felix Hernandez, best pitcher on the American League and he should win the CY award not CC why you don't mention him?
ReplyDeleteWait, what? King Felix is amazing, and by far my choice for AL Cy Young, but what on earth does he have to do with this blog post?
ReplyDeleteFelix dominated the crap out of the Yankees this season like no one else has, pitching to an insane 0.35 ERA over 26 innings against New York. No one is disputing how awesome he is.
But this post was about Brett Cecil becoming the only four-game winner against the Yankees this season, not about Felix's CY candidacy. I have no doubt that had Felix gotten a fourth start against the Yanks he would've dominated them once again. He's amazing.
I also have no problem with people disagreeing with each other, but calling us bigots for absolutely no reason is unnecessarily hostile and borderline insane. Don't come back until you've grown up.
And who in your deranged mind are they bigoted against? the people of Seattle?
ReplyDelete