In 2004 I lived in Europe. I followed the baseball season religiously, Bill James style. Everyday when I got to work I'd fire up recaps and the boxscore from the night before. This is a surprisingly satisfying way to follow a season. In no way does it compare to the bliss of watching live baseball, but if you find yourself halfway around the world, a boxscore and a good journalist are your best friends. This also meant that last night was the first time I have ever seen Javier Vazquez pitch. Ouch.I was as excited as anyone for Vazquez's arrival. I have routinely postulated that a solid season from Javier could prove to be the difference maker on this team. There was no way I was missing this game. I'd never actually seen Javy pitch. I wanted to see how the Yankees' newest acquisition would fare in his return to pinstripes.
The knee-jerk reaction would be "not well." This isn't true, at least with respect to the first four innings. David Price of the Rays was dealing; Vazquez matched him for almost half the game.
Vazquez's stuff surprised me, in part because it never crossed my mind to research what kind of pitcher he was. I recognized immediately why he gives up a lot of home runs. Javy doesn't have much velocity. His fastball seems to top out at 91 mph. In that respect he reminds me of Andy Pettitte. To compensate for the lack of speed, Vazquez uses four pitches and needs to keep them DOWN IN THE ZONE. Read that last part again, because if he elevates his fastball, it is an 89 mph line drive waiting to happen.
And that's what happened. After four innings Vazquez lost his composure (perhaps he got tired?), started missing spots, and got shelled. The Yankee Universe may respond harshly to this one data point, but Javy's performance mirrors CC's and A.J.'s only on a larger scale. My take away is that three of the team's four starters pitched well for the first halves of their first starts, but lost it down the stretch. Hopefully in a start or two all four will be at full strength.
Which brings us to today's game. Last season served as one more reminder that April games don't matter much. But if a fan is going to give any importance to an early season game at all then this is one to watch. CC Sabathia makes his second start of the season for the Yankees. The Rays will counter with Wade Davis.
CC's first performance was a mirror of Vazquez's. He was solid until the 6th inning, when he fell apart. How well he recovers may reflect on the team's ability to put forward a solid performance during a tough April stretch. The game also will serve as a bit of diagnostic on the hitters right now. Even though its early, these are competitive people. Are the Yankees together enough to come back after a tough loss?
For the Rays, Davis is a bit of an unknown. Like Price he is a young starter. Unlike Price, Davis doesn't have much of a record to date. This may not bode well for the bombers, who did not hit against rookie pitchers last season.
Game's on Fox, at 3pm.
Hi Mike,
ReplyDeleteI wrote something pretty similar to what you wrote - i posted the lines for the Yankees 4 starters, and outside of Pettitte, they're all pretty similar. I feel that the Javy through the first 3 or 4 innings can sustain that through 6 innings as he gets stronger, and if that's the case, hes going to win a ton of games.
We watched the beginning of the game with great relish; I really like the looks of Javy's stuff. And Nick Johnson rounding 3rd on that ARod triple (i scored it a double, but whatever) was classic.
Like you said, April doesnt mean much.
~jamie
Great points on all the starts. It's super early in this season and these guys are so far from full strength. Wade Davis had some studly outings down the stretch for TB, this one could be ugly but hopefully the good guys come out on top.
ReplyDeleteA buddy of mine and I have a joke. Its taken from the Freshman when Marlon Brando says he only likes it when his stocks go up. I only like it when they win. I want to tell myself its ony April, but April is a high intensity time. Bad starts, good starts, odd habits - April can sometimes set the tone for an entire season.
ReplyDeleteJavier can certainly win a lot of games with the stuff he showed at the beginning of the game. However, with such low velocity I think he'll always be susceptible to the big hit.
Very true - but after seeing what Mike Mussina did in 2008, I tend to believe anything is possible. I still can't believe he won 20 games with that velocity, even on the Yankees - or maybe especially on the Yankees on that particular year (not a bad team, but not up to Yankees standards of recent yrs)
ReplyDelete~jamie