On Friday we looked at the 2010 Yankees' projected wOBAs through the four available projection systems, and today we'll take a quick look at the projected starting rotation using FIP.The usual caveats apply here with the FIP projections -- some of the older projections -- James and CAIRO -- may not have been updated to reflect Vazquez's move to the AL East. Additionally, Hughes is likely being projected as a reliever.
CHONE and Marcel seem much harder on the Yankees' three horsemen, although 4.15-4.25 FIPs out of Burnett and Pettitte -- while not ideal -- should still be enough to put the Yankees in position to win plenty of their starts. Sabathia is unsurprisingly being predicted to be a huge badass again, although CAIRO is the only system that has him bettering his 2009 effort.
Unsurprisingly, no one is expecting Vazquez to come anywhere close to his superb 2009 FIP. While a mid-3s FIP would be great, I think we're going to have to expect something closer to 4.00 for ol' Home Run Javy. Thankfully for Joba he has nowhere to go but up, although he still has a lot of work to do to become the elite pitcher the Yankees and fanbase hope he blossoms into.
And finally, I'm assuming these Hughes projections are either as reliever or are presumably as some kind of starter/reliever hybrid. If CHONE and Marcel are actually predicting his FIP as a starter, I'd be overjoyed for anything under a 4.00 FIP over a full season of starts from Phil.
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