Monday, November 30, 2009

Know your enemy: The Los Angeles Angels


Every Yankee fan knows that the Angels have beaten up on the Bombers more than any other team in the last decade. In fact, they were the only team with a winning record against the Yankees during the Joe Torre era.

It's not just that they had the Yankees' number until the 2009 ALCS -- it's also how they did it. Prior to the instant classic that was ALCS Game 2, a friend of mine and I agreed that watching the Angels play the Yankees is like watching one team play baseball while the other team plays the game backwards. They Angels don't play AL East-style baseball and the Bombers always look surprised when Chone Figgins goes from first to third or Bobby Abreu is slapping a double into right.

Here are the facts: The California Anaheim Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim won 97 games in 2009. They did it with an offense that scored the 2nd-most runs in the Majors, while putting up a 1st place .285 batting average (I'm not a fan of BA either, but admit it, that's impressive) and a 3rd place .792 OPS. They were also a terror on the basepaths, swiping 148. Only Tampa and, of all teams, Texas stole more.

But wait, there's more. Of the 10 players who led the team in at-bats, eight batted .290 or better. Of that same list, seven got on base at .350 or better. Granted, only two of the players slugged over .500, and that list doesn't include free-agent and possible zombie Vladimir Guerrero, but a team that can use hits to get on base that effectively is dangerous.

Pitching appears to be the Angels' weakness numerically. Other than Saves, where they ranked 2nd, they weren't a top five pitching team in any statistic, a big weakness for a playoff team. However, this so-called weakness is deceptive. Not only did the Angels pitching staff suffer the tragic loss of Nick Adenhart just prior to the start of the season, but every one of their key pitchers started the season on the DL.

Once healthy, the pitching staff was solid. Jared Weaver and John Lackey are as strong a duo as one can find almost anywhere in Baseball, while Joe Saunders was serviceable whenever he wasn't playing the Yankees. The Angels have perhaps fewer off-season questions than any other perenial contender, they play in the AL West and I'm still not sold on Texas.

Without further ado, the players:

C
Mike Napoli .272/.350/.492 VORP: 25.8
Jeff Mathis .211/.288/.308 VORP: -9.3

Mike Napoli is young, affordable ($2 million per year) and a solid hitter at any position, especially catcher. Jeff Mathis is the kind of player who should only see the field in a playoff game if the Angels training staff suddenly can't find Napoli's rotator cuff because it was eaten by cannibals.

I've long believed that Mike Scioscia is the AL West's Ozzie Guillen, a manager who has luck on his side to cover up what are actually indefensible decisions. Jeff Mathis started Game 1 of the ALCS, replaced Napoli in Game 3 and went 2-2, started Game 5 and went 3-4, and started Game 6 and went 1-2. I think he may have gotten more hits in four games than Mark Teixeira did the entire postseason. In the process, he covered up what would otherwise have been a dangerous -- and perhaps completely insane -- Mike Scioscia decision. Angels fans may argue that Scioscia knew which of his players were hitting and played them, but in reality he got lucky.

The Angels are fortunate to have a plus hitter in Napoli at what is usually an offensive hole for most teams, or what I like to call a Molina. Despite that, Mathis started 78 games at catcher in 2009. Who had the lowest VORP of any player on the 2009 Angels? Jeff Mathis.

1B
Kendry Morales .306/.355/.569 VORP: 39.8

BALCO All-Stars alert! Kendry Morales' OPS+ in 2008? 72. The most homers he hit in a season prior to 2009? 5, which he accomplished his rookie season in 2006. It should therefore come as a surprise only to human beings who eat food and breathe air that in 2009 Morales put up an OPS+ of 137 with 34 homers in 2009. The only reason he didn't lead the Angels in VORP is because the statistic penalizes him for playing first base. And he wasn't half bad a first, putting up a UZR of 4.9.

The Angels tried to keep Mark Teixeira after the 2008 season, but he left for greener pastures. Morales filled in after Tex's departure and exceeded all expectations handsomely. It's impossible to predict players who outperform to such a magnitude, but Bill James is expecting another 30 homer, 100 RBI season.

2B
Howie Kendrick .291/.334/.444 VORP: 16.5
Maicer Izturis .300/.359/.454 VORP: 22.3

Both of these guys embody what I think Angels Baseball represents. They put up OPS+'s of 102 and 107 respectively, while stealing 24 bases between them. Izturis can do everything in the infield except catch and play first. Kendrick is a legit Yankee killer with a career .426 average againts the Pinstripes.

Izturis is the better fielder. His UZR at 2nd in 2009 was 6.6 versus only 1.7 for Kendrick. Kendrick saw nearly 30 more games at 2nd than Izturis because Izturis started nearly 30 games at short. Izturis is a slightly better hitter, meaning that Kendrick's role on the team is a little uncertain heading into 2010. Despite that, the Angels are well served to keep two players who give them better than average offense and defense at several infield positions.

3B
Chone Figgins .298/.395/.393 VORP: 37.8

I need to retract completely my statement that Chone Figgins may have been an affordable option for the Yankees in left. Larry was right to criticize the statement. This guys is the Angels' Jimmy Rollins. He's overrated. I would have known this earlier had I researched the comment even one iota.

Similar to the comparably overrated Jacoby Ellsbury, Figgins steals bases to compensate for an eye-popping lack of power. Unfortunately he's been caught 26% of the time in his career, which is just on the bad side for someone whose game is so dependent on speed. As a result, what stands out is that he has only had an OPS+ above 110 once in his career. Thank you, but I'll keep Johnny Damon.

Figgins rates as an excellent fielder at 3B. He put up a 16.7 UZR in 2009 and an 8.9 in 2008. He's versatile as well. He can play 2B and the outfield, but he only rates as an asset at the hot corner.

Figgins is the first of several signature Angels who are free-agents this offseason. Rumors are that the Angels are prepared to cut ties with him because he will be too expensive. If they decide to let him go they can turn to Maicer Izturis to replace most of his production. Their OPS+'s were almost identical. The major difference is that Figgins steals more bases than Izturis, but with more than 10 in only 100 games Iztruris is quick enough to fill in, particularly at less than $2 million per year.

SS
Erick Aybar .312/.353/.423 VORP: 29.7

Shocking! Another Angel who hits for average, gets on base a decent amount, and has ABSOLUTELY NO POWER AT ALL. That's a .111 ISO, for those of you keeping score at home. Its not Melky-bad (.080 ISO -- hit the weight room Leche!) but this guy doesn't hit a lot of doubles.

That's just about the only knock on Aybar, though. His total offsensive output is just a hair above average. He's a good defender. He's only 25. He cost the Angels only $460 thousand last season, but was worth $17.1 million, according to Fangraphs. (No, really, here's the link. I was stunned too.) He's not going anywhere, and is another all-around player who can be expected to perform is SoCal.

LF
Juan Rivera .287/.332/.478 VORP: 22.4

Rivera is a product of the Yankee system. His 2009 WARP1? 1.6. His 2009 salary? $3.25 million. Johnny' Damon's 2009 WARP1? 4.0. HIS 2009 salary? $13 million. Rivera's 2009 value? $15.1 million. Johnny Damon's 2009 value? $13.6 million. And Rivera only turns 31 next season. Of course, the Yankees would probably pay him $11 million per season.

With 25 homers and 88 RBI in 2009, the injury-prone Rivera is a decent OBP away from being an excellent hitter. He's already there when his low price tag is taken into consideration. In addition, Rivera is a strong fielder, with a 2009 UZR of 12.7 in left. He's another Angels player who is young, affordable, and above-average on both sides of the ball. Is anyone else noticing a trend here?

CF
Torii Hunter .299/.366/.508 VORP: 41

I'm not sure what's worse, the fact that Hunter has a girl's name or the fact that its spelled with not one, but TWO i's. If I were a 6'2", 205lbs professional athlete, making $18 million per year, with that name, I'd dot each i with a heart and act tough around anyone who looked at me funny when I did.

The Angels have taken a lot of flack for Hunter's contract. And they should. Since arriving in Los Angeles of Anaheim Hunter has made $36 million but has only been worth $27.6 million, according to Fangraphs. He's been overpaid by nearly three Juan Riveras.

Add Hunter's name to the growing list of players whose charismatic style inflates their reputations. In 2009, Hunter won his 9th consecutive Gold Glove. As far as I can tell this happened because the voters have forgotten the names of every other outfielder in the AL. I knew that Hunter was overrated as a defender but I was stunned to see just how overrated. According to Fangraphs, Hunter last posted a positive UZR in 2005!

Hunter stands out as an enigma on the Angels. Perhaps with the exception of Chone Figgins, each of their core players is affordable, young and solid all-around. Hunter is none of these things and his contract makes him untradeable.

RF
Bobby Abreu .293/.390/.435 VORP: 35.6

Abreu's power continued to decline in 2009. His .435 slugging was the lowest of his career since he became an everyday player. He also hit only 15 homers last season, which is tied for the lowest in his career. His OBP jumped up from his Yankee days, when he routinely put up a .370 line, which is why he kept his value up.

It's unclear where Abreu goes from here. The conventional logic (which tends to be coventionally stupid in baseball) is that contact hitters like Jeter can perform late into their careers but power hitters, which is what Abreu was once upon a time, start to struggle when the long-ball stroke is gone.

Abreu hasn't hit more than 20 home runs since 2005. During most of that stretch he hit roughly 40 doubles or more, until last year. In 2009 Abreu hit only 29 doubles, the fewest he's hit since his rookie season. Angel Stadium rates as a slightly above-average hitters park. Bobby will be 36 next season. His power numbers may continue to decline.

Abreu earns every bit of his bad reputation in the field. His UZR is Torii Hunteresque, having last put up a positive number in 2003. His worst year? 2008,when he was a Yankee. Apparently the short porch scared him into posting a -25.6 UZR.

The Angels wasted no time re-signing Abreu to a two-year, $19 million deal this offseason. According to Fangraphs, Abreu was worth $11.1 million for the Angels in 2009. In 2008 he was worth only $5.6 million with the Yankees. If Abreu performs at the average of his '08 and '09 stats over the next two years he'll give the Angels $16.7 million worth of value in 2010 and 2011.

DH
Vladimir Guerrero .295/.334/.460 VORP: 15.6

Once upon a time Vlad the Impaler was one of the most exciting players in the Majors. He was a perennial threat to hit 35 homers with an OPS of .950 or better, which was incredible because he swung at everything. "Cannon" did not do his arm justice in the outfield. It may be painful to watch him run today, but he once stole 40 bases. All of this is gone. On the plus side, along with Jorge Posada, he is one of the only players who doesn't wear batting gloves.

The Angels brought Vlad in to add power to their attack after the 2003 season. He delivered over the next four seasons, winning the MVP in 2004 and never putting up an OPS+ below 138. Sadly, if Vlad is currently only 34 years old I'm Scarlett Johansson. He started to break down in 2008 and only managed 100 games as a DH in 2009. Vlad and Hideki Matsui will both apparently turn to glass if they play the outfield again.

Vlad was never worth less than $10 million in his first five years as an Angel. Last season he was only worth $3.4 million. Simply watch Vlad run out a grounder these days and it becomes hard to imagine he has more than a season or two left in the tank, if that. It's equally difficult to see him sign with any team for less than $5 million a year. Will the Angels overpay to keep him?

SP
John Lackey ERA: 3.83 WHIP: 1.27 VORP: 33.5

Lackey is the biggest free agent pitcher on the market this offseason. I've heard he's looking for anything from A.J. Burnett money ($89 million, 5 yrs) to Barry Zito money (I forget, but something like 37 years, $870 million).

He's certainly not worth Zito money (Barry Zito wasn't worth Zito money), but is he worth A.J. money? That depends who's buying. Entering this Season A.J. had a career ERA+ of about 111 and was 31 years old. Lackey is a year younger than Burnett and has a career ERA+ of 117. According to Fangraphs, Lackey was worth $17.6 million last year, more than A.J. and his salary. If Burnett was worth nearly $90 million to the Yankees, there is an argument that Lackey should be worth roughly the same to them. I've argued before and will argue here again that, provided he's healthy, the current Yankees plus Lackey = 2010 Championship.

The concern with Lackey is his history of injuries. He's had elbow problems in the past and the Angels seem to be happy to let him leave. Do they know something other teams don't? It's difficult to imagine the Angels pitching staff if he departs, just as it's difficult to see a team that was already thin on pitching competing without one of its top arms, but the Angels seem to be OK with doing just that.

SP
Jered Weaver ERA: 3.75 WHIP: 1.24 VORP: 49.2

Whenever I see the numbers Weaver puts up with the Angels I get upset, until I remember that we had his brother Jeff. I get confused because the siblings insist on pitching in Andre Agassi's mullet wig.

A solid pitcher every season of his short career, Weaver was the Angels' ace in 2009. He's also 27 years old. He only made $475,000 last season. He's not going anywhere.

SP
Joe Saunders ERA: 4.60 WHIP: 1.43 VORP: 21.9.

There's one on every team. Putting his loss in Game 6 of the 2009 ALCS aside, Saunders is actually a good pitcher for his price. His numbers in 2009 weren't great, but they were in 2008, when he posted an ERA+ of 130. If he can put up the average of his 2008 and 2009 seasons for the next three years he'll be an ERA+ 114 pitcher, John Lackey territory. He's only 28 years old. He made only $475,000 last season. Along with Weaver he makes up a young, cost-controlled core of pitchers for the Angels.

SP
Ervin Santana ERA: 5.03 WHIP: 1.48 VORP: 10.2

Somehow, Santana is only 26 years old and makes $3.8 million. Weaver and Saunders need his agent. Santana is also erratic and injury-prone. His ERA+ has been as good as 127 in 2008 and as poor as 78 in 2007. He's appeared in more than 30 games only twice in his career and only pitched 139 innings last year. As with the entire Angels pitching staff, he's fairly inexpensive.

SP
Scott Kazmir ERA: 4.89 (1.73 w/ Angels) WHIP: 1.42 (1.05 w/ Angels) VORP: 16 (all w/ Angels)

Never much of a workhorse (he's only pitched 200 innings one season), Kazmir was the lone bright spot on the Rays for years. He was a lock to have an ERA under 4 and to bedevil the Yankees the few times he faced them.

Last year he pitched badly in Tampa and the Rays traded him to the Angels, in part to avoid paying his salary which is due to expand beyond its current $6 million in 2010.

No one really knows what the Angels got. At only 25, Kazmir could become a key performer on the Angels staff if he can rediscover his former mojo from the AL East. He certainly started to do that with the Angels, but then trailed off during the postseason. Bill James is predicting a solid but not spectacular 2010. The Angels would be happy to get that kind of production from yet another young arm.

RP
Brian Fuentes ERA: 3.93 WHIP: 1.4 VORP: 12.4

Brian Fuentes made $8.5 million in 2009. He was worth only $1.6 million. Francisco Rodriguez made $9.1 million in 2009. He was worth $1.5 million. Mariano Rivera was worth $8.9 million. Conclusion? Closers are overpaid. That, and the Angels refused to overpay Rodriguez by $7.6 million so they could overpay Fuentes by $6.9 million. Congratulations?

Call Fuentes the Joe Nathan of the AL West. His numbers aren't very good to begin with, but just as with Nathan, Fuentes looked positively overmatched in the playoffs. He looked terrified on the mound and his performance reflected it. There are a lot of bad things to be said about K-Rod, but he certainly has confidence.

Conclusion
The Angels are a perplexing team. Unlike the Yankees or the Red Sox, there is no one on this team that jumps out at me, at least not now that Vlad is on the decline. Instead, the sum seems to be greater than its parts. With the exception of Lackey, Weaver and Hunter, none of these guys would be more than better than average players on any other team. However, a team of better than average players comes together well.

I'm not sure how much credit I want to give Mike Scioscia for the Angels' success. On the one hand, you can't knock success. The Angels have made the playoffs six times in the last 10 years, including 2002 when they won the World Series. Scioscia has been the manager during this entire stretch and the Angels consistently get outsized performances from unsuspecting players. There is a treand there.

On the other hand, the Angels do absolutely everything that costs a team outs, like stealing too many bases, making reckless decisions on the base paths, playing for the hit and run, etc. Furthermore, his in-game decisions during the ALCS were bad. Finally, he seems like the kind of manager who is too smart for his own good. I mean, Jeff Mathis? JEFF MATHIS!

I'm going to give Mike the benefit of the doubt here. He's the MLB equivalent of Mike D'Antoni. He has a style of play (for better or worse) and excels at getting players to buy into that system. The Angels have a proven track record of getting strong performances from players. That is Scioscia's responsibility. He'll benefit, even if its just a coincidence.

The Angels appear to be ready to lose a plus arm, and two bats that are difficult to value. In that respect they are actually in better shape than both the Red Sox and Yankees, who risk losing more valuable players.

The Angels also benefit from playing in a weak division. At times Texas has appeared to be on the brink of challenging them, but that has yet to materialize. I doubt it will next season. The weak competition allows the Angels to mix and match more than their AL East counterparts during the regular season. Combine their shrewdness with the youth of most of their players and they seem poised to stay contenders, at least in the AL West, for years to come.

Before I close, I came across this photo while searching for links for this post. That's pretty much how I imagined Derek Jeter spent his offseasons.

Saturday, November 28, 2009

That other New York team


Things have been, as expected, relatively quiet in Yankeeland the last few days, other than the completely unsurprising news that Roy Halladay would be open to a trade to the Yanks (Wow Roy, you'd be willing to accept a trade to the defending World Champions? Way to go out on a limb there).

There have, however, been a handful of amusing stories about everyone's favorite lovable losers, the crosstown New York Mets. Here's a hilarious tale of bustling activity at the Yankee Store during the holiday shopping weekend and tumbleweeds at the Mets'; another about the Mets introducing supposed throwback uniforms for next season (pretty sure they look exactly like one of the 8,000 versions the team wears on any given day), presumably to distract the fanbase from the sad product attempting to play baseball on the field; and another urging the Mets to trade for both Halladay and albatross Vernon Wells.

I've never fully understood what drives people to root for the Mets over the Yankees -- I mean, I get that Walter O'Malley ripped a huge hole in the heart of Brooklyn by moving the Dodgers out west, and, while you never really hear as much about it, I imagine there were a few folks who were sad that the Giants left town as well.

I for one would've loved to have bore witness to three baseball teams competing in New York City. It's an idea I'm still crazy about today. Though it'll likely never happen as both the Yankees and Mets would be loath to see another team come in and take away from their profits and fanbases, New York is such a baseball-crazy town (honestly, who gives a crap about football?) that I think a third team could really thrive without taking anything away from the other two.

I also get that the good people of Long Island need a baseball team to identify with -- I suppose if I were from the largest island in the United States and only had one major artery with which to get to anywhere that was clogged 24 hours a day, I'd be inclined to root for the Metropolitans too.

But I digress. I also realize that wanting to add a third team while making fun of the already-existing second team seems contradictory, but I just have trouble taking the Mets seriously. If your family were former Brooklyn Dodger or New York Giant fans, then fine, love the Mets. But if you have no particular allegiance one way or another, and you still end up going with the Mets over the Yankees (although it seems not many people do this, given the sheer preponderance of Yankee hats over Met hats you see walking around the City on a daily basis. Shoot, I see more Red Sox hats in New York City than Mets hats on any given day -- that's just sad) you probably have some self-esteem/loathing issues to take care of.

Friday, November 27, 2009

Seconded


I didn't get around to a Thanksgiving-type post yesterday and I'm pretty busy today as well, so I'm just going to link to SG.

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Updated | Yankee playoff games I've been to


Right before the 2009 playoffs started I discussed the Yankee playoff games I'd attended. Given that this past October saw five more added to my ledger, I thought it'd be fun to update the original post.

Year Game Opponent Starters Outcome
1995 ALDS 2 Seattle Pettitte v. Benes W, 7-5*
1996 ALDS 1 Texas Cone v. Burkett L, 6-2
1996 ALCS 1 Baltimore Pettitte v. Erickson W, 5-4*
1998 ALCS 2 Cleveland Cone v. Nagy L, 4-1*
2003 ALDS 2 Minnesota Pettitte v. Radke W, 4-1
2003 ALCS 2 Boston Pettitte v. Lowe W, 6-2
2003 ALCS 7 Boston Clemens v. Martinez W, 6-5*
2007 ALDS 3 Cleveland Clemens v. Westbrook W, 8-4
2009 ALDS 1 Minnesota Sabathia v. Duensing W, 7-2
2009 ALCS 1 Los Angeles Sabathia v. Lackey W, 4-1
2009 ALCS 2 Los Angeles Burnett v. Saunders W, 4-3*
2009 WS 1 Philadelphia Sabathia v. Lee L, 6-1
2009 WS 2 Philadelphia Burnett v. Martinez W, 3-1








*extra innings

Prior to the 2009 postseason I'd been 6-2 at Yankee Stadium in October; my 4-1 record this year brings me to 10-3 all-time. Not too shabby. Additionally, exactly half of the wins I've seen came via the walk-off.

In attending both Games 1 and 2 against Philadelphia, I was also able to end my own personal World Series drought, although my brother and my dad once again got to enjoy a World Series clinching game together (they were also at the Stadium in 1999, though both of them said they felt that this year's was far more exciting, as the 1999 win came with the Yanks up 3-0 in the Series and victory seeming inevitable).

While all five games were great (even the frustrating-as-hell Game 1 of the World Series, while unenjoyable at the time, was pretty great in hindsight -- you have to respect Cliff Lee's performance, even if it came at the Yankees' expense), the best were Game 2 of the ALCS and Game 2 of the World Series.

ALCS Game 2 saw A-Rod's ridiculously clutch bomb in extras off Brian Fuentes, in a battle that had loss written all over it after LA took the lead. This game not only took forever, but was also the coldest night of the entire postseason -- my dad, as hardcore a fan as I am, was actually ready to take off after the Angels went ahead. He left, and I was left standing there by myself when A-Rod saved the day -- shortly thereafter I got a tap on the shoulder, turned around and gave a big hug to my dad, who as it turns out, never actually left the building. He stayed to watch in the Great Hall, and came back up to where I was standing after the game-tying bomb. It was a great moment, even if he did almost leave during extra innings of a playoff game.

Game 2 of the World Series was pretty close to a must-win, as no one wanted the Yankees heading to Philadelphia down 0-2. It was also incredibly tense through the first few innings, between the Yankees having been handcuffed the previous night by Cliff Lee as well as the fact the team wasn't doing much of anything against Pedro as the Phillies took a 1-0 lead. Thankfully Mark Teixeira came through with a huge game-tying home run, the offense added two more late runs and A.J. Burnett wound up turning in the outing of his Yankee career, with Mo coming on for the six-out save.

Neither of these quite compare to Game 7 of the 2003 ALCS, which I went into detail about in the original post and will likely remain the greatest sporting event I ever attend for some time, although I can't say I'm upset that none of the Yankees' 2009 playoff series went the distance. Game 7s are no good for anybody -- as Mike noted in the RAB interview the other day, "That game was so stressful and such a roller coaster and such a joy in the end, that I can't imagine ever feeling like that again. Everything was on the line, and they couldn't have won it in a better way. That was the first game that ever caused me physical pain." Take all those emotions and then also be at the game. Craziness.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Bizarre moves from seasons past: The trading of Mike Lowell


My friend and fellow huge Yankee fan Dave (who comments under Davey) has long maintained that his dream Yankee infield would have been an all-homegrown group of Jorge Posada at catcher, Derek Jeter at short, Nick Johnson at first, Alfonso Soriano at second and Mike Lowell at third.

With talk of Nick Johnson possibly returning to the Yankees, I started thinking about Lowell -- who, incidentally and unsurprisingly has been made available by the Red Sox -- not because I want him now (does anybody?), but because the unceremonious dumping of Lowell in 1999 is one of the stranger moves Brian Cashman has made as GM during the last decade.

The Yankees traded Mike Lowell to the Marlins on February 1, 1999, for minor league pitchers Ed Yarnall, Mark Johnson, and Todd Noel. In 1997, Mike Lowell put up an OPS of 1.000 in 78 games at AA Norwich, and a .909 OPS in another 57 games at AAA Columbus. In 1998, Lowell rocked an .890 OPS in 126 games at AAA Columbus. In other words, he was obviously very good at hitting.

Scott Brosius came to the Yankees for the 1998 season and had the second-best year of his career, with an .843 OPS (121 OPS+). Brosius would never come close to that again, turning in below-average campaigns in 1999 and 2000 (84 and 70 OPS+, respectively) before finishing his Yankee career on a respectable note with a 105 OPS+ in 2001.

Here are Lowell's and Brosius' wOBAs from 1999-2001:


Brosius Lowell
1999 .314 .321
2000 .295 .352
2001 .340 .337

And here are Lowell's and the Yankee third basemen wOBAs for the following two years (2003's Yankee number is the average of Robin Ventura and Aaron Boone):


Yankee 3B Lowell
2002 .358 .349
2003 .324 .371

So while the Yankees weren't exactly getting chopped liver out of 3B during this time period, it's pretty clear that Mike Lowell would've been a fine and largely more effective option at 3B from 1999 through 2003. Obviously the comparison stops being relevant once A-Rod came in for 2004, although who knows if the Yankees would have bothered trading for Alex had they just received a .371 wOBA from Lowell and possibly even won the World Series with Lowell on their roster instead of on the Marlins'?

Obviously that's a tremendous leap to take, as we have no idea whether any of the 2003 season would have still played out that way, but it's interesting to ponder on a slow offseason day. In any event, despite Brosius' 1998 season, the Yankees had no good reason to trade Mike Lowell for three scrub pitchers. Would it have killed them to at least have kept him on the bench, even if he was blocked by Brosius? In due time they would have realized that Lowell was a superior option at third.

Perhaps even more vexing was the Yankees giving Brosius a three-year extension based on one season that was completely out of line with his career norms. I can't say I'm horrendously upset at how things ultimately turned out with the team's 3B situation, given that the Yankees were able to get Alex Rodriguez, but it's still baffling that Cashman traded what was probably their top hitting prospect at the time -- not to mention a cost-controlled third baseman that could rake and potentially be the solution at 3B for years to come -- for what essentially amounted to a bag of balls. Did the team really expect that Brosius would be manning the hot corner beyond 2001?

Cashman obviously thought he was getting something with Yarnall and the other no-names, but thankfully he's learned his lesson since then, and hopefully we'll never see another trade this shortsighted or poorly conceived by the Yankees ever again.

2009 Season in Review: The Outfield and Designated Hitter


This is the fifth in a series of five Yankeeist 2009 Season in Review recaps. Please be sure to check out 2009 Season in Review: The Infield, 2009 Season in Review: Starting Pitchers, 2009 Season in Review: The Bullpen and 2009 Season in Review: The Bench if you haven't already done so.

If there's been one offensive constant across Yankee teams of the last 15 years, it's been a highly productive infield. Not that the Yankees have had lousy-hitting outfielders by any stretch -- although they haven't fielded 100-OPS+-or-higher guys at all three outfield positions since 2004 -- but the team's ridiculously good production from its five infielders over the years -- underscored by this year's unit posting a collective .389 wOBA -- has led the team to punt some outfield offense of late.

Having said that, the 2009 Yankee outfield was very productive -- the best collective OPS+ (118) since the aforementioned 2004 group (129) -- even with Melky Cabrera continuing to patrol center field on a regular basis. The starting tandem of Johnny Damon-Cabrera-Nick Swisher averaged a .361 wOBA, while Brett Gardner shored the defensive alignment up in the later innings.

Former outfielder Hideki Matsui was the designated hitter for the entire season, and significantly exceeded expectations, recording the second-best campaign of his seven-year Yankee career.

Johnny Damon, LF
162-Game Averages: .288/.355/.439, 105 OPS+
2009 regular season: .282/.365/.489, 126 OPS+, .376 wOBA
2009 postseason: .281/.333/.422, 2HR, 9RBI, .343 wOBA

While Damon has been very productive during the course of his Yankee tenure, I doubt many people expected him to put up a career year in his age 35 season. The team correctly flip-flopped Jeter and Damon in the batting order in spring training, and the move clearly worked out as well as anyone could have hoped. The only downside to Damon's 2009 campaign were his rapidly deteriorating defensive skills.

Damon looked horrendous in the first round of the playoffs, but turned it in on the ALCS and World Series, posting a respectable slash line after all was said and done. And of course he was also responsible for one of the most memorable moments of the entire postseason.

As one of the team's primary free agents, Damon's been at the center of a lot of speculation in Yankeeland during the last few weeks. While I have been on board with re-signing him to a one- or two-year deal at a lesser salary, Damon apparently has other ideas. If Damon won't take less than $13 million per, it's probably time for the Yankees to cut their ties with Johnny. As great a year as he had in 2009, there's no way he's going to reach that level of production again as a 36-year-old.

Melky Cabrera, CF
162-Game Averages: .269/.331/.385, 88 OPS+
2009 regular season: .274/.336/.416, 99 OPS+, .331 wOBA
2009 postseason: .271/.314/.313, 0HR, 4RBI, .283 wOBA

I have a lot of trouble rooting for Melky Cabrera. Obviously I want him to do well, but he's just too limited as an offensive player to get terribly excited about. He's been a pleasure to watch play defense, but that's about the nicest thing I can say about ol' Leche. Melky's really a fourth outfielder masquerading as a starter, and the Yankees were able to do that in 2009 because everyone else in the lineup had such ridiculous years.

For a while there it looked like Melky had possibly turned a corner, and after he hit for the cycle in early August the Yankees had all nine members of the starting lineup posting OPS+s of 100-or-better. Unfortunately Melky fell off and finished the year slightly below-average, although his 99 was still the best OPS+ of his career.

As previously discussed, I'd like to see the Yankees upgrade their center field situation offensively if possible, whether that means trading for Curtis Granderson or bringing Mike Cameron in. I know Melky's young, but he's now had nearly 2,000 Major League at-bats to distinguish himself at the plate and he has yet to do so.

Brett Gardner, CF
162-Game Averages: .256/.325/.352, 80 OPS+
2009 regular season: .270/.345/.379, 93 OPS+, .337 wOBA
2009 postseason: .154/.154/.154, 0HR, 0RBI, .078 wOBA

To Gardner's credit, he posted a far better offensive season than most were expecting him to. He even out-wOBA'd platoonmate Melky, albeit in about the half the number of at-bats. Gardner usurped the starting role from Melky a couple of times in 2009, but Cabrera eventually won it back. I questioned whether Gardner should've started over Melky in the playoffs, given how poorly Cabrera finished the year, but ultimately the difference probably would've been negligible.

Gardner actually looked pretty terrible in the few playoff at-bats he did receive, but that was probably more a function of not having played on a regular basis in quite some time than his true talent level. Still, like Melky, Gardner's also a fourth outfielder, and an ideal guy to use off the bench. Gardner's defense and speed certainly helped the Yankees in 2009, and I have no problem with Brett continuing his role as back-up outfielder going forward.

Nick Swisher, RF
162-Game Averages: .245/.357/.460, 115 OPS+
2009 regular season: .249/.371/.498, 129 OPS+, .375 wOBA
2009 postseason: .128/.255/.234, 1HR, 2RBI, .234 wOBA

Nick Swisher is one of my favorite stories from the 2009 season. I still love and can't believe that Brian Cashman somehow convinced Kenny Williams to take the most useless player this side of Tony Womack in a trade for Swisher. Swisher went from hypoothetical starting first baseman to back-up right fielder during the offseason, and was elevated to regular status after Xavier Nady went down for the season. No offense to Nady, but I wasn't terribly heartbroken that he was out for the year, because I doubt he would've put up the numbers that Swisher did.

In addition to being a prototypical Yankee-type player -- working the count, willingness to take a walk -- he also played far better defense than Bobby Abreu ever did, and (not that this has anything to do with statistical analysis) really endeared himself to the fanbase. But most importantly, he put up a .375 wOBA.

Like several other Yankees, Swisher was unfortunately pretty awful in the playoffs, but thankfully it didn't affect the end result.

Hideki Matsui, DH
162-Game Averages: .292/.370/.482, 124 OPS+
2009 regular season: .274/.367/.509, 131 OPS+, .378 wOBA
2009 postseason: .349/.462/.674, 4HR, 13RBI, .480 wOBA

Matsui's 2009 represented the second-highest OPS+ of his career, trailing only 2004's 137. He also had the third-best DH wOBA in the league, behind Adam Lind and Jason Kubel. Not to mention he was an utter beast in the postseason, with a batting line second only to A-Rod and a highly deserved World Series MVP trophy to polish in the offseason.

I, like several others, suspected Matsui was mostly done for coming into the year. As I mentioned the other day, I was pushing hard for Adam Dunn in pinstripes during the offseason. In fact, I didn't have a blog back then, but I did go back into my G-Mail archives and found the following exchange I had with Joe P. from RAB last January 7:

Larry: I know No Maas has been harping on Adam Dunn for the entire offseason, and as someone who values OPS above any other statistic in baseball, I still think the Yanks would be foolish not to make some kind of run at Dunn, Teixeira notwithstanding. Think for a second how awesome a middle of the lineup that becomes -- Teixiera/A-Rod/Dunn. I imagine one of our outfielders would have to be moved to make room, but who cares? How often do you have the opportunity to get a perennial 40 HR/100 BB threat? And his price tag has to be declining every day, in light of the Burrell and Bradley signings. And I just saw a graphic on MLB Network showing that Nick Swisher led the league in pitches per plate appearance last year, while Dunn was #4. We could potentially have two of the top 5 most patient hitters in baseball in our lineup! I really feel like it makes way too much sense to sign Dunn, and I'm hoping the fact that we haven't heard a single thing about the Yanks being on Dunn means Cashman is going to pull another Teixeira and swoop in out of nowhere and grab him (and Teixeira himself was pretty much the best holiday gift ever -- I don't think I stopped grinning that entire night).

What do you think? Has your opinion changed since Mike posted this? Am I being insanely greedy wanting more offense? If you still like Dunn, it'd be awesome if you guys tossed a post up on RAB explaining why he'd be a great signing.

Joe: Only problem I see with that is where to put Dunn. He's optimal at DH, playing the field a couple of days a week, but we have Matsui at DH, and he's not going anywhere. If he gets injured we'll all be saying "man, if we only signed Adam Dunn," but you can't predict injury in that manner (that is, to sign a starter in anticipation of one of your starters going down). Even if they trade one of Nady/Swisher, they still have Damon in left and the remaining one of those guys in right. An outfield of Dunn-Damon-Nady/Swisher would be horrendous defensively.

It's tough for me to say this, since I'm a huge Dunn fan. Not just for the Yankees, but as a player who gets a lot of undeserved shit. So, love the idea, but don't see a practical means to implement it.

Larry: Fair enough, I guess I was hoping that we could just dump Matsui on someone. I don't really have a rational basis for this feeling, but I'm over Matsui.

-------------------

Sorry Hideki! I still love you! As I also mentioned the other day, I was happy to be wrong on the demise of Matsui. However, like Damon, it seems highly unlikely that Matsui will be able to come close to repeating what he did this year in his age 36 season. If a one-year, $10 million deal can be worked out to bring Matsui back for an encore performance, then by all means.

If not, there are a handful of alternatives out there. We've talked about Vlad Guerrero a bit on this site, although one name that's starting to pick up some steam is Nick Johnson, who I woke up this morning wanting to write about only to find that Mike Axisa beat me to the punch for the second time this week.

The more I think about it, the more I love this idea. Nick the Stick has always been a favorite of mine (how do you not love a guy with a career .402 OBP?), and as Mike notes, batting the ultra-patient Johnson and Nick Swisher back-to-back could present one of the ultimate headaches in the league to opposing pitchers. While the Yankees felt N the S was expendable in 2004 due to the presence of Jason Giambi and the desire for Javy Vazquez, they really need to think hard about bringing one of their best homegrown hitting prospects back into the fold this offseason.

Additionally, the Stick is five years younger than Matsui, put up nearly the same wOBA in 2009 and is projected to out-wOBA Hideki next year (.375 to .366). This could all be a moot point if the Stick is looking for some outrageous contract, given the fact that (a) the Yankees don't need him at first base, even though he's considered a good defender, and (b) Johnson's main bugaboo is whether he can stay healthy.

But you have to figure Johnson's agent realizes that Nick can't sign for premium money with his injury track record. iI Matsui leaves and Johnson is available for around $10 million per, I'd love to have N the S's bat back in the Yankee lineup.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

The Yankeeist Interview with River Ave. Blues


While last week's interviewees, Bronx Banter and RLYW, represented the founding fathers of the Yankee blogosphere, today I bring you the gentlemen behind the most popular and arguably most authoritative Yankee blog running today: River Ave. Blues.

Simply put, if you're a web-savvy Yankee fan you almost certainly know about RAB. I can't remember exactly when I started reading, but I know it was pretty early on in the site's existence. Ben Kabak, Joe Pawlikowski and Mike Axisa -- each of whom began writing about the Yankees on the web at their own individual sites -- do an incredible job of posting new Yankee content on what feels like practically an hourly basis every single day. While some bloggers feel compelled to post at times even if they don't really have anything to say, every RAB post is always carefully thought out and extremely well-written, with a strict adherence to high-end statistical analysis.

RAB is by far my most visited daily website, and in addition to the fantastic quality of the content, is also home to a passionate and dedicated commenting section. Of course, popularity can also breed contempt, and unlike, say, the community at RLYW, not everyone in the RAB comments is on the same page. One of the more entertaining parts of reading RAB's comments section are the smackdowns frequently doled out by the authors as well as the way fierce RAB loyalists will jump all over anyone who suggests anything even remotely idiotic.

I knew the RAB guys and I were kindred spirits when we both rallied around not trading Phil Hughes during the winter of 2007/2008. Over the last few years I've exchanged several e-mails with Ben, Joe and Mike, and they were even kind enough to let me author a guest post for their site.

I was also fortunate enough to finally meet Ben and Joe during the playoffs this year, and got to watch and celebrate #27 with an awesome crew that included both of them at Blondie's on the Upper West Side. As I've written previously, it was almost surreal reveling in a Yankee World Series championship with two of the guys whose writing I've been reading every day for basically the last three years.

In any event, I am very proud to present my interview with Ben, Joe and Mike:

Yankeeist: What compelled you to start a Yankee blog, what was the date of your first-ever blog post and what was it about?

Benjamin Kabak: My first blog actually wasn't a Yankee-centric one. In December 2003, after watching Aaron Gleeman turn into a successful Internet writer, three of my friends and I decided to start a group blog called Talking Baseball. For me, a veteran of news reporting throughout high school and college, the new venture gave me a chance to explore sportswriting. We hosted the site on Blogger, and although they were Red Sox fans and I a Yankee fan, we tried to focus more on general baseball issues. My first-ever blog post was a not-too-good piece on Roger Clemens' unretiring. I've come a long way.

Joe Pawlikowski: I'd always liked writing, and it was always my strong point in school -- I was a "D on the test, A on the paper" kinda student. Just before my senior year of college I had the "oh crap, I have no idea what I'm going to do with my life" moment, and decided that nothing made me happier than writing. So I kept a journal that year, mostly written while in class. The main topics were the Yankees and boobs, and the Yankees seemed like the better writing path.

I started my first blog, The Sporting Brews, in May 2005, just after graduation. I talked about Kevin Brown throwing meatballs, A-Rod and Cano. The writing is terrible, but if you want to slog through it, the archive is still up.

Mike Axisa: I was looking for a place to talk baseball, and chat rooms and forums just weren't doing it for me. I was looking for intelligent conversation, not just banter. My first-ever post was a profile of then-Yankee prospect J.B. Cox way back on January 28, 2006.

Yankeeist: You each started out at separate blogs—can you tell me a little bit about those sites, and what made the three of you decide to come together to form RAB?

BK: After Talking Baseball died, I jumped around a lot. I wrote about the Yankees for the Most Valuable Network at the now-defunct Off the Facade. I wrote some general baseball columns for an All-Baseball site called Double Play Depth and eventually contributed to 360 The Pitch as well. In late 2006, I approached Mike and Joe about joining the team at MVN where Mike would write about the minors and Joe would join me on Off the Facade. After a few months, we decided that we could do a better job outside of the structure of a blog network, and we began River Ave. Blues in February 2007. The rest, as they say, is history.

JP: The Sporting Brews came about during senior year of college, when my roommates and I would get hammered and watch sports just about every night. The title was dumb, but it made sense at the time. It started off with ramblings about college basketball which have since been deleted. It's for the better. I moved onto baseball when I got home, because as a college grad without a full-time job, I watched and read about baseball constantly.

After I got a real job, time was a lot scarcer than it had been. It turned out that Ben started a new job at the same time and was facing the same issue. As Ben mentioned, we combined forces at Off The Facade for a few months before getting fed up and deciding to start our own site. Once we were sure we were leaving, we asked Mike, who was blogging at Pending Pinstripes, to come along.

MA: I bounced around a bit before RAB. My first site was called In George We Trust, and I was there for about six months. I got fed up with Blogger's unreliability during the 2006 MLB Draft, so I switched over to a new site I called Baby Bombers. I was there only for a few months before getting the invite to write at MVN's Pending Pinstripes, and left PP after Ben and Joe contacted me about RAB.

Yankeeist: How did you come to decide on "River Ave. Blues" for the name of the site? Were there ever any other potential names in serious consideration?

BK: The name River Ave. Blues came from a renegade Yankee blog I started while with MVN. I had some major problems with my co-writer at MVN, and I decided to start my own site. I liked the connotations of River Ave. as the home of the Yankees and blues as both the musical style and the color of the team. As my subway blog Second Ave. Sagas demonstrates, I seem to have a thing for avenues.

Yankeeist: How do you decide who is going to write what on any given day? Is there a schedule as far as who writes the game preview, game post, etc.? Do any of you have a particular preference as far as what types of pieces you enjoy doing the most?

BK: Our schedule comes to us on a day-to-day basis. Generally, we e-mail each other about the next day the night before, and we always have a 9:30am post ready before we go to bed. Then, during the day, we'll pick topics, send out an e-mail about it and write the post. Our schedule, which has become more flexible as news breaks over the off-season, involves a new post at least every two hours during the East Coast business day, an open thread at night, Down on the Farm or another small piece around 10 p.m. and then an overnight post. The game threads and wrap-ups are always up for grabs with the general understanding that whoever writes the game recap won't write the 9:30 a.m. post. Generally, I enjoy the more analytical pieces, but it's always a rush to break some news.

JP: As far as different types of posts go, I usually defer to Mike when it comes to the minors and Ben when it comes to business topics. Other than that, we write about whatever we're thinking about.

MA: I enjoy writing about prospects and analyzing potential roster moves the most, though I'll write about pretty much anything.

Yankeeist: RAB made waves with its "Save the Big Three" campaign back in 2007, and I was of course also staunchly against the trading of Phil Hughes. We all want Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain to be important contributors to the Major League rotation (well, those of us with a brain, anyway), and those two seem to have as good a chance as any, but it's also easy to forget how hard is to succeed at that level -- heck, even Phil and Joba may never be quite as good as we hope they'll end up being. At one time both had been pegged as potential future #1s or #2s. As amazing as that would be, I'd be perfectly happy even if they wound up as effective #3 or #4-type starters. What do you ultimately foresee as Hughes' and Joba's ceilings? Can we expect either of them to become the Yankees' version of Jon Lester?

BK: Jon Lester is a tough ceiling. That guy's a shut-down lefthander with the poise and ability to excel in Fenway. I think one of those pitchers — pick one — can be as good as Lester, and I think the other wouldn't be too far behind. They have the stuff to do it, and at this point, it's just a matter of having the confidence to trust that stuff. Of course, young pitchers break down, but if the two can remain healthy, their ceilings are sky high.

MA: I still think Joba can absolutely be a number one starter. His stuff is still fantastic, he just needs to work on his command and being more aggressive. That's not uncommon for young pitchers, especially 23-year-olds in the AL East. Phil Hughes might not have that ace potential, but he's still got plenty to be a number two guy down the road. I'm actually more confident in Hughes' ability to reach his ceiling than Joba's ability to reach his.

Jon Lester is a truly great pitcher, so I don't feel comfortable saying either Joba or Hughes will develop into that. If one of them did, the Yanks would be ecstatic. However, the Yanks have the luxury of not having to count on those two to be horses right now, they can stash them in the back of their rotation for the next few years and let them learn. It has to happen, and it won't always be pretty.

Yankeeist: Noted B-Jobber Mike Francesa and other clueless B-Hughesers' obsession with "teh ate" (Note: For those unfamiliar with the aforementioned terminology, B-Jobbers, B-Hughesers and Mike Francesa are people who have an unhealthy fixation on who will pitch the eighth inning and have been seduced by Chamberlain's and Hughes' success in that role to the point that they feel either of those starters should be relegated to just one inning a game of relief duty, despite the fact that both have far more value giving six-plus as a starter) has been the most tiresome debate in the Yankee blogosphere. You guys have certainly discussed it ad nauseum on RAB, and even if one of them pitched a perfect game in Game 7 of the World Series we'd probably still have people out there claiming they are best-suited for set-up duty. What do Joba and Hughes have to do to get people to finally shut up about sticking them in the bullpen?

BK: I think people will always be talking about sticking them in the bullpen. The problem with the bullpen is that it is inherently a place where bad pitchers go to muddle their way through mediocre Major League careers. Closers seem to be the exceptions to this rule, but most relievers are failed starters who couldn't withstand the physical toll of 180-200 innings a year or don't have the stuff to get out hitters three or four times a game. Therefore, bullpens will always be volatile. When the Yanks stuck Joba and Phil into the pen, the team knew it would be putting good pitchers into roles generally reserved for pitchers not as good. Of course, they dazzled, and of course, commentators wanted to see these pitchers forever in the bullpen. In the end, though, 34 starts will always be more important and more valuable to a team than 60-70 one-inning appearances out of the pen.

MA: I don't think the debate will ever go away, just because the New York media won't let it. Joba marched into Fenway in 2008 and completely shut down the Sox, which gave you a glimpse of what he's capable of. Yet no one seems to care. In the end, it doesn't matter what the media writes and the fans think, the Yanks are going to do what's best for them in the long-term, and that's keeping Joba in the rotation.

Yankeeist: Mike, it seems that you, Pending Pinstripes' Greg Fertel and E.J. Fagan are pretty much the only games in town as far as day-to-day Yankee minor-league coverage on the web goes (apologies if I’ve missed anyone). I think it's safe to say that your coverage has helped transform the fans' enjoyment of the team even moreso, given the relative lack of mainstream information the average fan has about the Yankee's minor league affiliates -- shoot, even my dad knows who Zach McAllister is. What’s the most interesting/rewarding aspect to you about covering the minors?

MA: The entire process of player development fascinates me. I guess the most interesting part of covering the minors is watching these kids go from raw teenagers to Major League ballplayers and develop their skills. It's definitely rewarding when one of them makes it, because for every guy that has an impact in the Bigs, there's literally hundreds that flamed out along the way. It can be frustrating at times, especially when your favorite prospect struggles, but having patience is worth it.

Yankeeist: It's easy for Yankee fans to get excited about the team's most-hyped prospects, often fantasizing about scenarios in which a given prospect is a hyper-productive member of the Big League ballclub, but as we know, even the most talked-about guys go through growing pains and many of them never pan out. How do you keep your expectations in check? Since you've been covering the minors on a regular basis, is there any one player you felt was a lock to go on and contribute at the Major League level but just never put it all together?

MA: I guess following the minors for all these years has kind of made me immune to when a player initially struggles. I've gone from expecting immediate impact to expecting immediate struggles, just because that's usually how it goes. Not everyone can come up and be a Tim Lincecum or a Miguel Cabrera. I thought for sure J.B. Cox would be a rock-solid big league reliever, but he struggled so badly after Tommy John surgery that he basically quit baseball and went home.

Yankeeist: What Yankee blogs/websites do you check in with every day?

BK: I currently follow around 25 other Yankee blogs via Google Reader. I like to keep up with what the fanbase is talking about. I'd say that the must-reads include LoHud and NJ.com's Yankee blog for breaking news and Bronx Banter and Fack Youk for both analysis and entertainment. That's not to slight the rest though; the Yankees have a very active and intelligent group of writers following them online.

JP: Oh, Larry, you had to ask THE question. The one that will surely make a few people resent me. For the most part, I read the blogs of people I interact with, whether that be in real life, on Twitter, or through e-mail. These include Yankeeist, Fack Youk, The Yankee Universe, and This Purist Bleeds Pinstripes. That's in addition to the beat writer blogs, which are always good for tidbits I wouldn't pick up elsewhere.

MA: I check in with a lot of Yankee blogs each day. Bronx Banter, Fack Youk, IAATMS, NoMaas, The Yankee Universe, YanksBlog, Yanks Fan vs. Sox Fan ... plus all the beat writers: Chad Jennings, Mark Feinsand, Tyler Kepner, Sweeny Murti, Marc Carig, I'm sure I'm missing someone obvious. As you can see, it's not a short list of sites I check out on a daily basis.

Yankeeist: Did you have any idea how influential a voice you would wind up becoming among legions of Yankee fans? How does it feel?

JP: Anyone who starts a blog and doesn't hope that it gets big is lying. We wanted to get this big (and bigger), but never thought it really possible at the start. The Yankee blog space was dominated by three or four sites, and once you have an established order it's tough to break. So no, we never really thought we'd be this influential.

It does feel great to post something and gain instant feedback on it, whether it's from the commenters or from links on other blogs. That's probably the best part about having influence. It creates a constant feedback loop that makes us think harder. It leads to a much better site than if we didn't have comments, or didn't participate at least lightly in them.

BK: We never imagined how widely read RAB would become when we started. We knew we could reach a large audience; we just didn't know how large. Honestly, it feels both good and humbling. Everyone likes to be recognized as an expert on a topic, but when we see people reading RAB at coffee shops or shouting out to us at crowded bars during the playoffs, we can't help but ask how we got to where we are today.

MA: Honestly, no. I never expected RAB to become what it has. I'm not going to lie, it's pretty cool. I enjoy being able to write about a topic, and have who knows how many people start up a 200-plus comment discussion about it.

Yankeeist: Can you tell us a little bit more about your partnership with YES? Will we be seeing more YES-commissioned pieces from you guys going forward? Any chance you’ll be chatting with Bob Lorenz on Yankee Hot Stove this winter, a la Steve Goldman?

MA: YES approached us about the deal last offseason. The basic idea is that RAB stayed the same, they just featured some of our content on YESnetwork.com. They would also stick some advertisements on our site, then we'd split the revenue generated in some way. With all of the extra traffic coming from them, it benefited both parties mutually, and with little change on our part.

We've already had some of our work featured on their site, like game recaps all throughout the playoffs. Ben actually did one really short web clip a few months back, but other than that, there's nothing planned for us to appear on the network, at least as far as I know. But yeah, I'd love to get on the air one day, whether it be just a two-minute spot with Bob Lorenz or a segment on Yankees on Deck, I don't care.

BK: We haven't yet approached YES with a full list of off-season plans, but we would like to see more of our original writing on YES. During the playoffs, we contributed a write-up to the YES site in addition to the one posted on RAB, and we felt that it helps YES expand its news offerings. Mike already mentioned my web-only video appearance earlier in the year, and we would like to do more on-air appearances with the network.

Yankeeist: This is not a full-time job for any of you, and yet you still manage to post countless times throughout the day, every day, even in the offseason—where do you find the time, and do you hope to eventually be able to make your living writing for RAB or about the Yankees in some capacity?

MA: I can't speak for Joe or Ben, but I tend to do the bulk of my writing at night, then just schedule posts to go live the next day. I also find time throughout the day to post shorter pieces, especially for breaking news. I'd love to turn this into a full-time job one day. I love doing it, and there's obviously a big demand for it, so hopefully one day it happens. Don't get me wrong though, it's definitely hard work and a big commitment though.

JP: I don't hope to make my living off RAB; I fully plan for that to happen. It comes back to the first part of the question. We enjoy doing this so much that we find the time. It sometimes comes at a social cost -- my girlfriend was none too happy when, after a three-hour-plus playoff game, I'd have to watch the postgame, transcribe quotes, and write a recap. But that cost is for the most part worth it. People tend to be more understanding when we tell them how much we love what we do, and how it's part of the dream to take this full time.

BK: We'd love to make our livings writing for RAB, but for now, we get by with the time we have. I'm a student and have a flexible schedule while Joe writes for a living and Mike consults for some engineering companies. We've been lucky in that our employers and employment situations have allowed us to maintain RAB as long as we get the rest of our work completed.

Yankeeist: How old were you when you realized you were a Yankee fan for life, and what is your first vivid Yankee memory?

JP: My first vivid Yankee memory was going to the Stadium in 1988. The Beach Boys played a concert after the game. Most of my memories from that time are pretty vague, though. I remember being super-excited when Roberto Kelly returned from injury, replacing Bernie Williams. I also remember being very upset when the Yanks traded Kelly for Paul O'Neill. I also have a vivid memory of Matt Nokes hitting a home over the short porch, but I'm not sure where that falls on the timeline.

BK: I've been wearing Yankee gear since I was a little baby in Riverside Park. With two Yankee-obsessed parents, it came with the territory, and I've been going to games since I was three. My earliest vivid memories include some late-afternoon games when I was five or six. I vaguely recall seeing Bo Jackson break his bat after a Golden Sombrero performance, and I was in the crowd when George Steinbrenner was suspended from baseball.

MA: I watched the Yankees while I was growing up, but 1992 or 1993 was when my fandom really kind of took off. I guess my first really vivid memory was Jim Abbott's no-hitter. No idea why, it just stuck with me.

Yankeeist: Favorite all-time game/season/moment as a Yankee fan?

MA: There are a lot, but I think Game Seven of the 2003 ALCS will stick with me forever. That game was so stressful and such a roller coaster and such a joy in the end, that I can't imagine ever feeling like that again. Everything was on the line, and they couldn't have won it in a better way. That was the first game that ever caused me physical pain. My head was killing me, my feet were sore from pacing and jumping around, but it was all worth it.

BK: My favorite game is a recent one. I was at Game 2 of the ALDS this year, and the Stadium was so alive. Between the ups and downs, A-Rod's home run and David Robertson's Houdini performance in the 11th and then Teixeira's game-winner, it was emotional and thrilling. I also saw the final game at the old Yankee Stadium, and while closing down the old home was not a happy moment, the game was great and atmosphere electric. My favorite season remains 1998 though. The team just wouldn't lose.

JP: Charlie Hayes catching the pop up to end the 1996 World Series. My baseball card collecting days were full of horrible Yankees teams. That win made it all worth it.

Yankeeist: I’ve recently gone on record as saying that the 2009 championship has been the most meaningful of my life. While 2009 was obviously a special year, 1996 seems to occupy the top spot in many twentysomething Yankee fans’ hearts. What’s your favorite championship year and why?

BK: I'd say that the 1998 championship was my favorite because, as I mentioned, the Yanks refused to lose. They won with perfect games and dramatic Darryl Strawberry home runs. They beat Trevor Hoffman in the World Series and didn't let the beginning of Chuck Knoblauch's demise as a player get them down. The 2000 team, while rather unmemorable during the regular season, also provided me with a great sense of victory. I was a senior in high school that year, and my school was divided between Yankees and Mets fans. We came out on top.

JP: Again, 1996, because I'd waited so long. I was also in love with the rotation that year. Jimmy Key had been one of my favorites for years, Cone was just awesome, and I was a Pettitte fan from the moment he was called up in 1995. I understand a lot more now than I did then, which helps the case for 2009, but I don't think there's a way to top 1996.

MA: Definitely 1996. I guess I consider that year so special because it was my first World Series experience. They really weren't the favorite against the Braves, and winning the series after being down 0-2 with so much drama and so many big moments ... it was great. I can't see how another World Series will ever make me feel like that again.

Yankeeist: Favorite Yankee of all time? Favorite “bad” Yankee of all time?

BK: Through and through, my favorite Yankee is Mariano Rivera. What else needs to be said? My favorite bad Yankee was Kevin Maas. Seven-year-old Ben was awestruck by the home runs he hit in 1990.

JP: Favorite Yankee of all time is Don Mattingly. I don't think many in our generation will pick anyone else. Maybe Jeter or Rivera, but growing up it was all about Mattingly. I think I have at least 50 of his baseball cards. Favorite bad Yankee of all time goes to Matt Nokes because of the aforementioned home run.

MA: Mariano Rivera, pretty easily. I have no idea why, but I've always favored pitchers. My favorite "bad" Yankee was definitely Luis Sojo. Isn't he everyone's?

Yankeeist: A huge thank-you to all three of you for taking the time to chat with me.

2009 Season in Review: The Bench


This is the fourth in a series of five Yankeeist 2009 Season in Review recaps. Please be sure to check out 2009 Season in Review: The Infield, 2009 Season in Review: Starting Pitchers and 2009 Season in Review: The Bullpen if you haven't already done so.

The Yankee bench had been an afterthought for much of this decade, though the counterargument generally ran that the Yankees' starters were so talented that the need for a strong bench was minimal. The 2009 Yankees had what was probably the team's deepest bench since the last World Series championship, though it didn't fully round into shape until the relatively minor acquisitions of Eric Hinske in late June and Jerry Hairston at the trade deadline. Many fans were expecting the Yankees to pull some kind of monster deadline deal off, and instead were a bit befuddled when the team picked up utilityman Hairston. However, Hairston proved to be a worthwhile backup in limited duty, and Hinske Glenallen Hilled a bunch of home runs coming off the bench.

None of the bench saw much playing time in the postseason with the exception of offensive black hole Jose Molina.

Jose Molina, C
162-Game Averages: .235/.277/.332, 60 OPS+
2009 regular season: .217/.292/.268, 51 OPS+, .260 wOBA
2009 postseason: .167/.286/.167, 0HR, 0RBI, .228 wOBA

Jose Molina is a terrible hitter. How bad, you ask? So bad that Cody Ransom actually out-wOBAed Molina, albeit in roughly half the number of plate appearances. Molina's been very solid defensively for the Yankees, but his bat is so worthless you have to figure Franciso Cervelli is handed back-up catching duties next season.

Eric Hinske, OF
162-Game Averages: .254/.336/.438, 100 OPS+
2009 regular season: .226/.316/.512, 116 OPS+, .350 wOBA
2009 postseason: .000/1.000/.000, 0HR, 0RBI, .706 wOBA

Hinske was a quality midseason pick-up and produced at an above-average clip in limited duty. Not sure what type of deal he's looking for or if the Yankees are interested in retaining his services, but they should definitely try to bring him back if he's willing to continue to be a role player.

Hinske had one plate appearance in the postseason, drew a walk, came around to score and wound up with a .706 wOBA.

Jerry Hairston, IF
162-Game Averages: .259/.328/.373, 85 OPS+
2009 regular season: .237/.352/.382, 96 OPS+, .325 wOBA
2009 postseason: .250/.250/.250, 0HR, 0RBI, .223 wOBA

Hairston was a more-than-serviceable utlity infielder for the Yanks after they acquired him at the non-waiver trade deadline. Hairston's had a fairly strange career -- I seem to recall that Hairston was thought of as the Orioles' second baseman of the future for a little while there, and I also remember a Hairston/Brian Roberts platoon at second base for the O's before Roberts started tearing the cover off the ball. Hairston only ever posted one above-average season for Baltimore, in 2004, and that was in only 86 games.

Hairston's established himself as a solid career backup, and I'd have no problem bringing him back for the bench if he's interested in returning.

Ramiro Pena, IF
2009 regular season: .287/.317/.383, 86 OPS+, .312 wOBA

Pena was one of the bigger surprises out of camp last spring, and was pressed into duty in April with A-Rod out and Cody Random sucking it up something spectacular at the hot corner. Pena, despite not having played above AA at that point, came up and played great defense supplemented by better-than-anyone-figured-he-was-capable-of offensive numbers. Pena's likely a career sub, but he was useful for the Yankees and hopefully can continue to be a helpful piece off the bench next year.

Francisco Cervelli, C
162-Game Averages: .283/.294/.354, 72 OPS+
2009 regular season: .298/.309/.372, 81 OPS+, .283 wOBA
2009 postseason: .000/.000/.000, 0HR, 0RBI, .000 wOBA

Cervelli's bat is nothing to write home about, although he still looks better than Jose Molina at the plate, which is why everyone expects the Yankees to hand Cervelli the back-up catching job in 2010. Like Pena, Cervelli hadn't played above AA either before being called up to the Bigs, and also provided better-than-expected numbers while developing an excellent rapport with the pitching staff, playing solid defense and displaying a bit more athleticism than we've traditionally seen out of the catcher's spot for the Yankees.

Cervelli quickly became a fan favorite, and his signature moment was his first career home run against Atlanta back in June, which helped jumpstart a sleepy Yankee offense and probably represented a more significant turning point in the Yankees' 2009 season than a lot of people realize. Going forward, I think the Yankees and the fanbase would be thrilled if Cervelli can be an 81 OPS+ player in the back-up catcher role.